Incendimpact

The research addressed several key issues: (1) determine the forest characteristics that allow fire risk assessment in terms of fire behavior; (2) characterize the predominant type of fires in each region; (3) identify the most significant climatic and forest variables in each area to define fire danger; (4) develop algorithms that relate climate to its effect on fires; (5) analyze how these relationships evolve from future climate change simulations (based on the IPCC Fifth Report); and (6) widely disseminate the results, both scientifically and socially.

Activities include: (1) the scientific analysis of the relationship between forest fire indices and local climate variables, formulating mathematical models capable of predicting changes in these indices in the face of climate modifications; (2) the study of how these relationships will evolve under future climate change scenarios, through local climate simulations obtained using regionalization techniques (downscaling) applied to the IPCC models5; (3) the projection of expected changes in forest fire rates in each of the six forest stands; and (4) the design and implementation of a communication and dissemination strategy, which included the presentation of results in articles, congresses, specialized forums, master’s degrees, as well as actions aimed at the general public.