Climate change impact assessment
We prepare climate change impact assessment studies on various areas to assist in strategic decision making.
UNDP-Ecuador
About the project
UNDP-Ecuador develops climate risk assessment subject to the determination of how future climate events, defined based on climate information projected through simulations, become threats capable of affecting populations and their health. This also includes strategic infrastructure, ecosystems, livelihoods and other human and natural systems in an environment on which progress and social welfare depend.
Video proof
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Test galery
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Impact models
Based on the recognition of these hazards or threats, it is possible to identify potential impacts and risks through the use of different methodological and technological tools, among which the so-called “impact models” stand out. For the accurate identification of climatic hazards, it is necessary to use reliable and updated information on the climatic parameters of precipitation and average, maximum and minimum temperature, with the least possible uncertainty. In this regard, within the framework of the PLANACC project, it was considered appropriate to use the recent outputs (HighResMIP experiments) of phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project to update climate projections for Ecuador, which will be key inputs for the development of sectoral climate risk analyses.
Results
Therefore, an Ad-hoc methodology was proposed for the generation of climate risk analysis for the Water Heritage sector, centered on the use of “impact models”, which will allow recognizing the possible “biophysical impacts” on this sector, which could be caused in the future by climate changes.
Three reports were obtained:
- Report on availability of information for impact model runs.
- Calibration report and initial runs of the biophysical impacts model.
- Report of final runs of the biophysical impact modeling.
Funded by
Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic Challenge through grants to third-sector entities or non-governmental organizations that carry out activities of general interest considered to be of social interest in the field of scientific and technical research and environmental protection under state jurisdiction. This research has been funded by the Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic Challenge but does not express its opinion.
