Local climate change projections
We design tools to simulate expected changes in future climate and assess how they may affect us through risk and vulnerability analysis.
About the project
SICMA-Canarias is a climate GIS platform that emerged as the main result of the open call for innovation of the European project ARSINOE (Climate-resilient regions through systemic solutions and innovations).
Platform features
The variables included in this tool are maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, potential and actual evapotranspiration, water balance, the SPEI (Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index), Aridity Index, and heat waves. The projections have been made for three periods: 2021-2050, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100, and are based on participatory workshops with stakeholders who identified the archipelago’s priority needs in areas such as water resources, agriculture, and tourism.
The spatial distribution of the analysis, adapted to the peculiarities of each island, was developed using up to 10 recent CMIP6 climate models and 4 socioeconomic scenarios (SSPs), from the most optimistic to the most pessimistic, thus allowing the exploration of possible climate futures for the Canary Islands, always taking into account the inherent uncertainty associated with climate.
This system, aligned with the latest advances of the IPCC (Climate Change Assessment Report, AR6), places the Canary Islands, together with Andalusia, as one of only two regions in Spain with a tool of this magnitude. This advance is crucial for strategic sectors such as water management, agriculture, and environmental conservation.
SICMA viewer
Through this link you can access the climate viewer jointly developed by the University of La Laguna, the Foundation for Climate Research and Meteogrid.
Funded by
