Prediction of extreme events
We make predictions of the probability of occurrence of extreme phenomena adapted to the needs of each case study.
About the project
ECCOSECHA addressed the evaluation of the influence of climate change on hydrological and agricultural drought in the Júcar and Segura basins. This has been achieved on the basis of local-scale climate projections developed on the basis of statistical regionalization of CMIP5 models.
Objectives
The analysis of the evolution of different drought indices allows us to know the changes that may occur in the hydrological cycle and in water availability, caused by climate change, as well as to evaluate the consequences, risks and threats of drought on agriculture, with a view to better management and sustainable use of water resources.
ECCOSECHA has had four phases:
1) Review of drought episodes that have occurred in recent decades.
2) Evaluation of the most appropriate drought indices for the study based on the meteorological information available. Finally, SPEI and SPI are selected.
3) Generation of future climate projections at local scale of temperature and precipitation.
4) Generation of future simulations of the drought indices defined in previous steps.
Finally, the results were analyzed to assess the impacts of climate change on droughts and water resources in the Júcar and Segura basins, with a view to better management and sustainable use of these resources.
Funded by
Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic Challenge through grants to third-sector entities or non-governmental organizations that carry out activities of general interest considered to be of social interest in the field of scientific and technical research and environmental protection under state jurisdiction. This research has been funded by the Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic Challenge but does not express its opinion.
Related services
Climate change impact assessment
We prepare climate change impact assessment studies on various areas to assist in strategic decision making.
